Concepedia

Ensemble Forecast Spread

Ensemble Forecast Spread is a meteorological verification metric that quantifies the dispersion or variability among individual members of an ensemble forecast system to assess predictive uncertainty and reliability.

227

Publications

16.6K

Citations

657

Authors

245

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

65

Parents

Publications

227

The ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System: Methodology and validation

Franco Molteni, Roberto Buizza, T. N. Palmer et al. · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 1996 · 1.6K citations

, , +17

Interpretation of Rank Histograms for Verifying Ensemble Forecasts

Thomas M. Hamill · Monthly Weather Review · 2001 · 925 citations · Full text

, , +17

A kinetic energy backscatter algorithm for use in ensemble prediction systems

G. J. Shutts · Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society · 2005 · 468 citations

, , +16

A verification framework for interannual-to-decadal predictions experiments

Lisa Goddard, Arun Kumar, Amy Solomon et al. · Climate Dynamics · 2012 · 354 citations · Full text

, , +16

Assessing the International Spreading Risk Associated with the 2014 West African Ebola Outbreak

Marcelo Ferreira da Costa Gomes, Ana Pastore y Piontti, Luca Rossi et al. · PLoS Currents · 2014 · 337 citations · Full text

, , +17

1–5 of 227

Authors

657

  1. RB
    Roberto Buizza

    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, United Kingdom

    8 publications · 2.5K citations

    8

    h-index

  2. TN
    T. N. Palmer

    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, United Kingdom

    8 publications · 2.2K citations

    8

    h-index

  3. FZ
    Fuqing Zhang

    Pennsylvania State University, United States

    6 publications · 338 citations

    6

    h-index

  4. ML
    Martin Leutbecher

    European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, United Kingdom

    6 publications · 501 citations

    6

    h-index

  5. SM
    Stefano Migliorini

    Met Office, United Kingdom

    4 publications · 161 citations

    4

    h-index

1–5 of 657

Institutions

245

  1. European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts

    Reading, United Kingdom

    24 h-index

    83 publications

    17.5K citations

  2. Met Office

    Exeter, United Kingdom

    21 h-index

    57 publications

    3.8K citations

  3. NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research

    Boulder, United States

    15 h-index

    24 publications

    3.4K citations

  4. University of Reading

    Reading, United Kingdom

    15 h-index

    44 publications

    2.3K citations

  5. United States Naval Research Laboratory

    Washington, United States

    11 h-index

    30 publications

    1K citations

  6. University of Oklahoma

    Norman, United States

    9 h-index

    19 publications

    802 citations

  7. NOAA Earth System Research Laboratory

    Boulder, United States

    9 h-index

    24 publications

    2.8K citations

  8. University of Maryland, College Park

    College Park, United States

    9 h-index

    12 publications

    728 citations

1–8 of 245

Venues

  1. Monthly Weather Review

    52 publications · 5K citations

    36

    h-index

  2. 34

    h-index

  3. Weather and Forecasting

    19 publications · 689 citations

    17

    h-index

  4. Geophysical Research Letters

    12 publications · 389 citations

    12

    h-index

  5. Journal of Climate

    10 publications · 743 citations

    10

    h-index

1–5