Concepedia

Earthquake Forecasting

Earthquake Forecasting is a subfield of earthquake physics and seismology that develops and applies physical and statistical models to estimate the probability distribution of future earthquake occurrence in time, space, and magnitude over specified intervals, as distinct from deterministic short-term prediction or real-time early warning.

1.6K

Publications

86.1K

Citations

3.4K

Authors

1.1K

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

554

Parents

Children

Publications

1.6K

Forecasting the evolution of seismicity in southern California: Animations built on earthquake stress transfer

Shinji Toda, Ross S. Stein, K. B. Richards‐Dinger et al. · Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres · 2005 · 890 citations · Full text

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OpenQuake Engine: An Open Hazard (and Risk) Software for the Global Earthquake Model

Marco Pagani, D. Monelli, Graeme Weatherill et al. · Seismological Research Letters · 2014 · 817 citations

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Earthquakes Cannot Be Predicted

Robert J. Geller, D. D. Jackson, Y. Y. Kagan et al. · Science · 1997 · 813 citations

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Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (UCERF3)--The Time-Independent Model

Edward H. Field, R. Arrowsmith, G. P. Biasi et al. · Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America · 2014 · 629 citations

, , +15

Predictability of population displacement after the 2010 Haiti earthquake

Xin Lü, Linus Bengtsson, Petter Holme · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2012 · 627 citations · Full text

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1–5 of 1.6K

Authors

3.4K

  1. WM
    Warner Marzocchi

    Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Italy

    48 publications · 3K citations

    31

    h-index

  2. TH
    T. H. Jordan

    University of Southern California, United States

    29 publications · 3.6K citations

    26

    h-index

  3. DA
    David A. Rhoades

    GNS Science, New Zealand

    30 publications · 1.8K citations

    25

    h-index

  4. YY
    Y. Y. Kagan

    University of California, Los Angeles, United States

    34 publications · 4.1K citations

    25

    h-index

  5. JB
    John B. Rundle

    University of California, Davis, United States

    33 publications · 2K citations

    25

    h-index

1–5 of 3.4K

Institutions

1.1K

  1. United States Geological Survey

    Reston, United States

    49 h-index

    408 publications

    36.8K citations

  2. Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia

    Rome, Italy

    45 h-index

    257 publications

    13.1K citations

  3. ETH Zurich

    Zurich, Switzerland

    36 h-index

    160 publications

    10.5K citations

  4. GNS Science

    Lower Hutt, New Zealand

    34 h-index

    140 publications

    6.1K citations

  5. University of Southern California

    Los Angeles, United States

    33 h-index

    78 publications

    7.5K citations

  6. GFZ Helmholtz Centre for Geosciences

    Potsdam, Germany

    33 h-index

    144 publications

    6.3K citations

  7. University of California, Los Angeles

    Los Angeles, United States

    32 h-index

    90 publications

    9.5K citations

  8. Southern California Earthquake Center

    Los Angeles, United States

    31 h-index

    66 publications

    4.5K citations

1–8 of 1.1K

Venues

  1. Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America

    BSSA · 138 publications · 9.2K citations

    48

    h-index

  2. Seismological Research Letters

    SRL · 94 publications · 6.1K citations

    45

    h-index

  3. Journal of Geophysical Research Atmospheres

    JGR · 54 publications · 6.6K citations

    41

    h-index

  4. Geophysical Research Letters

    83 publications · 5.3K citations

    41

    h-index

  5. Geophysical Journal International

    GJI · 103 publications · 4.4K citations

    38

    h-index

1–5