Concepedia

Deterministic Population Forecasts

Deterministic Population Forecasts is a population forecasting method that projects future demographic trends using fixed assumptions and mathematical models without incorporating probabilistic variation or uncertainty in fertility, mortality, and migration rates.

7

Publications

254

Citations

13

Authors

8

Institutions

Publications per year

2017–2026

0

Parents

Publications

7

Probabilistic population projections with migration uncertainty

Jonathan J. Azose, Hana Ševčíková, Adrian E. Raftery · Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2016 · 80 citations · Full text

, , +16

An Empirical Analysis of the Effect of Length of Forecast Horizon on Population Forecast Errors

Stanley K. Smith, Terry Sincich · Demography · 1991 · 39 citations · Full text

, , +13

Australia's uncertain demographic future

Tom Wilson, Martin Bell · Demographic Research · 2004 · 37 citations · Full text

, , +9

Migration Models and Their Significance for Population Forecasts

Hendrik ter Heide · The Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly · 1963 · 32 citations

, , +15

The forecast accuracy of Australian Bureau of Statistics national population projections

Tom Wilson · Journal of Population Research · 2007 · 30 citations

, , +15

1–5 of 7

Authors

13

  1. TW
    Tom Wilson

    The University of Queensland, Australia

    2 publications · 67 citations

    2

    h-index

  2. TG
    T. G. Dmitrieva

    Hydrometeorological Research Centre of Russian Federation, Russia

    1 publications · 15 citations

    1

    h-index

  3. YS
    Yuri S. Tokarev

    All-Russian Institute of Plant Protection, Russia

    1 publications · 21 citations

    1

    h-index

  4. DB
    D. B. Kiktev

    Hydrometeorological Research Centre of Russian Federation, Russia

    1 publications · 15 citations

    1

    h-index

  5. JJ
    Jonathan J. Azose

    University of Washington, United States

    1 publications · 80 citations

    1

    h-index

1–5 of 13

Institutions

8

  1. All-Russian Institute of Plant Protection

    St Petersburg, Russia

    1 h-index

    2 publications

    42 citations

  2. University of South Florida

    Tampa, United States

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    39 citations

  3. Charles Darwin University

    Darwin, Australia

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    30 citations

  4. Hydrometeorological Research Centre of Russian Federation

    Moscow, Russia

    1 h-index

    3 publications

    45 citations

  5. The University of Queensland

    Brisbane, Australia

    1 h-index

    2 publications

    74 citations

  6. University of Washington

    Seattle, United States

    1 h-index

    3 publications

    240 citations

  7. University of Florida

    Gainesville, United States

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    39 citations

  8. Decision Sciences (United States)

    Fort Walton Beach, United States

    1 h-index

    1 publications

    39 citations

1–8 of 8

Venues

  1. Entomological Review

    1 publications · 21 citations

    1

    h-index

  2. Russian Meteorology and Hydrology

    1 publications · 15 citations

    1

    h-index

  3. Demography

    1 publications · 39 citations

    1

    h-index

  4. The Milbank Memorial Fund Quarterly

    1 publications · 32 citations

    1

    h-index

  5. Demographic Research

    1 publications · 37 citations

    1

    h-index

1–5