Kenneth C. Lichtendahl

Is It Better to Average Probabilities or Quantiles?

Kenneth C. Lichtendahl, Yael Grushka‐Cockayne, Robert L. Winkler · Management Science · 2013 · 161 citations

Forecasting Methodology, Quantitative Methods, Engineering +20

Trimmed Opinion Pools and the Crowd's Calibration Problem

Victor Richmond R. Jose, Yael Grushka‐Cockayne, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl · Management Science · 2013 · 84 citations

Forecasting Methodology, Engineering, Opinion Pools +19

Incentives in a Stage‐Gate Process

Raul O. Chao, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl, Yael Grushka‐Cockayne · Production and Operations Management · 2013 · 76 citations

Project Management, Moral Hazard, Individual Decision Making +18

Ensembles of Overfit and Overconfident Forecasts

Yael Grushka‐Cockayne, Victor Richmond R. Jose, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl · Management Science · 2016 · 74 citations

Forecasting Methodology, Engineering, Machine Learning +16

Probability Forecasts and Their Combination: A Research Perspective

Robert L. Winkler, Yael Grushka‐Cockayne, Kenneth C. Lichtendahl et al. · Decision Analysis · 2019 · 73 citations

Forecasting Methodology, Bayesian Decision Theory, Engineering +20