International Shipbuilding Progress · 1990 · 11 citations · 0 references
EngineeringMarine EngineeringOcean EngineeringNaval ArchitectureOcean WavesUncertainty QuantificationOcean ForecastingShip Motions In WavesShip Performance PredictionSurface Wave DynamicsWave ForecastingWave StatisticsCapsize PredictionLong-term Wave StatisticsShip Motion Response PredictionShip MotionsShip Motions PredictionShip WavesStatistical Wave ClimatologyWave Response Analysis
Long-term predictions of most probable maximum values of motion amplitudes are required for design purposes, so as to guarantee adequate living standards onboard and the safety of the ships against capsizing. This work will present the current methodology of deriving the long-term probability distributions of ship responses and the different sources of wave data. Long-term distributions are determined for different ship types and for different wave climate descriptions so as to determine the sensitivity of the results to these variations. It is shown that the uncertainty involved in the statistical description of one specific area is larger than the differences between ocean areas.