Journal of risk and financial management · 2024 · 24 citations · 39 references
BusinessData ScienceFinanceForecastingMachine LearningPredictive AnalyticsFinancial ForecastingFinancial Time Series AnalysisMarket AnomaliesTime Series ForecastingTime Series PredictionVolatility ModelingActivation FunctionsDeep Learning-based ForecastingEncoder-decoder ArchitecturesFinancial Time Series ForecastingHyperparameter TuningNeural Time Series ForecastingPredictionRecurrent Neural Network Forecasting
This work addresses the intricate task of predicting the prices of diverse financial assets, including stocks, indices, and cryptocurrencies, each exhibiting distinct characteristics and behaviors under varied market conditions. To tackle the challenge effectively, novel encoder–decoder architectures, AE-LSTM and AE-GRU, integrating the encoder–decoder principle with LSTM and GRU, are designed. The experimentation involves multiple activation functions and hyperparameter tuning. With extensive experimentation and enhancements applied to AE-LSTM, the proposed AE-GRU architecture still demonstrates significant superiority in forecasting the annual prices of volatile financial assets from the multiple sectors mentioned above. Thus, the novel AE-GRU architecture emerges as a superior choice for price prediction across diverse sectors and fluctuating volatile market scenarios by extracting important non-linear features of financial data and retaining the long-term context from past observations.
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DROPS (Schloss Dagstuhl – Leibniz Center for Informatics) · 2023 · 76.3K citations · Full text
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