2023 · 83 citations · 28 references
ComputingComputer ScienceComputer VisionForecastingMachine LearningNeural NetworksPattern RecognitionSelf-supervised LearningSupervised LearningTime Series PredictionTrajectory PredictionAutoencodersInductive BiasMaskingMotion ForecastingSelf-supervised Representation LearningTransformer-based Prediction ModelsTransformer-based Trajectory Prediction
This study explores the application of self-supervised learning (SSL) to the task of motion forecasting, an area that has not yet been extensively investigated despite the widespread success of SSL in computer vision and natural language processing. To address this gap, we introduce Forecast-MAE, an extension of the mask autoencoders framework that is specifically designed for self-supervised learning of the motion forecasting task. Our approach includes a novel masking strategy that leverages the strong interconnections between agents’ trajectories and road networks, involving complementary masking of agents’ future or history trajectories and random masking of lane segments. Our experiments on the challenging Argoverse 2 motion forecasting benchmark show that Forecast-MAE, which utilizes standard Transformer blocks with minimal inductive bias, achieves competitive performance compared to state-of-the-art methods that rely on supervised learning and sophisticated designs. Moreover, it outperforms the previous self-supervised learning method by a significant margin. Code is available at https://github.com/jchengai/forecast-mae.
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DROPS (Schloss Dagstuhl – Leibniz Center for Informatics) · 2023 · 76.3K citations · Full text
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