Creeping slopes in NW Himalaya and Joshimath slide: constraints from GPS measurements

Abstract

Slow slope movement is very common in the Himalayan region. In most cases, the topsoil, weathered rock mass, debris of paleo-landslide or of glacial origin, etc. slowly slides until it stabilizes or fails. In some cases, even the bedrock may be involved in sliding. Here we report four such sliding slopes on which GPS were actually installed for tectonic deformation monitoring in the Himalayan region after a careful investigation but they recorded slow slope sliding. The slow sliding motion on these slopes varied from 10-15 mm/year to 5-6 m/year. The slow slides did not show any anomalous seasonal variation due to hydrological loading. Amongst the four, the Joshimath slide exhibited a large variation in sliding motion which varied from less than a mm/day to 15 mm/day during 2022-2023, causing cracks on the ground and buildings and panic amongst the residents. Even the highly non-linear motion with a sudden change in sliding motion at Joshimath appears to be of viscous creep type. The exact time of initiation of this episode of slide is not known but the available InSAR analyses imply that it is moving at least since 2018. Its motion does not seem to be affected by the February 7, 2021 floods, however, whether the anthropogenic activities around the sliding zone influenced its motion and initiation, remains to be debated.