The 2023 Mw 7.8 and 7.6 Earthquake Doublet in Southeast Türkiye: Coseismic and Early Postseismic Deformation, Faulting Model, and Potential Seismic Hazard

Abstract

Abstract On 6 February 2023, Mw 7.8 and 7.6 earthquakes struck southeast Türkiye and northwest Syria. They are the largest earthquakes in Türkiye in over 80 yr, causing significant damage and fatalities. We used Advanced Land Observation Satellite-2 and Sentinel-1 Synthetic Aperture Radar images to obtain near-field coseismic displacements by Differential Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (DInSAR) and pixel offset tracking (POT). Discontinuities of the surface deformation suggest that the Mw 7.8 event ruptured ∼320 km along the East Anatolian fault, and the Mw 7.6 event ruptured ∼150 km near Elbistan, southern Türkiye. We inverted these earthquakes' fault geometry and slip distribution based on Global Navigation Satellite Systems, DInSAR, and POT displacements. The estimated fault slip model shows that the first Mw 7.8 event ruptured a steeply southeast-dipping fault, and the seismogenic fault of the second Mw 7.6 event is north-dipping with complex geometry. The dip angle of subfaults of the Mw 7.6 earthquake decreases from east to west. Faults responsible for the two earthquakes are dominated by left-lateral strike-slip motion, with the maximum slip of ∼9.1 m. Early postseismic deformation within two months exhibits displacement discontinuities in the Amanos and Pazarcık segments and the Çardak fault, suggesting that the afterslip partially compensated the coseismic slip deficit at the shallow depths. Furthermore, static Coulomb failure stress changes induced by the two earthquakes indicate that the southwestern Pütürge segment of the East Anatolian fault has a high risk of future rupture.