Early Outbreak Detection for Proactive Crisis Management Using Twitter\n Data: COVID-19 a Case Study in the US

Erfaneh Gharavi, Neda Nazemi, Faraz Dadgostari

arXiv (Cornell University) · 2020 · 15 citations · 0 references

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Abstract

During a disease outbreak, timely non-medical interventions are critical in\npreventing the disease from growing into an epidemic and ultimately a pandemic.\nHowever, taking quick measures requires the capability to detect the early\nwarning signs of the outbreak. This work collects Twitter posts surrounding the\n2020 COVID-19 pandemic expressing the most common symptoms of COVID-19\nincluding cough and fever, geolocated to the United States. Through examining\nthe variation in Twitter activities at the state level, we observed a temporal\nlag between the rises in the number of symptom reporting tweets and officially\nreported positive cases which varies between 5 to 19 days.\n