Hedging Geopolitical Risks with Different Asset Classes: A Focus on the Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Barbara Będowska-Sójka, Ender Demir, Adam Zaremba

Finance research letters · 2022 · 140 citations · 27 references

DOIFull text

Open access

Concepts

TL;DR

The study investigates how the 2022 Russian invasion of Ukraine affects the hedging properties of various asset classes. Wavelet coherence analysis is used to assess the impact of geopolitical risk on different securities. Asset classes show unequal risk sensitivity, with bonds and stocks coherent over multi‑week horizons, currencies reacting quickly, and green bonds, gold, silver, Swiss franc, and real estate emerging as the most resilient and potential hedges against geopolitical risk.

Abstract

We examine the hedging properties of different asset classes as impacted by the Russian invasion of Ukraine in 2022. We employ wavelet coherence analysis to study the impact of geopolitical risk on various types of securities. We found that different asset classes exhibited unequal risk sensitivity in both magnitude and timescale. Bonds and stocks displayed strong coherence for multi-week horizons, whereas currencies were affected at shorter periods. The green bonds, gold, silver, Swiss franc, and real estate proved the most resistant to geopolitical risk fluctuations. Hence, they may serve as the best hedge against geopolitical risk.

References

27