Knowledge-based Temporal Fusion Network for Interpretable Online Video Popularity Prediction

Abstract

Predicting the popularity of online videos has many real-world applications, such as recommendation, precise advertising, and edge caching strategies. Despite many efforts have been dedicated to the online video popularity prediction, there still exist several challenges: (1) The meta-data from online videos is usually sparse and noisy, which makes it difficult to learn a stable and robust representation. (2) The influence of content features and temporal features in different life cycles of online videos is dynamically changing, so it is necessary to build a model that can capture the dynamics. (3) Besides, there is a great need to interpret the predictive behavior of the model to assist administrators of video platforms in the subsequent decision-making.