Global fine-scale changes in ambient NO2 during COVID-19 lockdowns

Abstract

Nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) is an important contributor to air pollution and can adversely affect human health^1-9. A decrease in NO₂ concentrations has been reported as a result of lockdown measures to reduce the spread of COVID-19^10-20. Questions remain, however, regarding the relationship of satellite-derived atmospheric column NO₂ data with health-relevant ambient ground-level concentrations, and the representativeness of limited ground-based monitoring data for global assessment. Here we derive spatially resolved, global ground-level NO₂ concentrations from NO₂ column densities observed by the TROPOMI satellite instrument at sufficiently fine resolution (approximately one kilometre) to allow assessment of individual cities during COVID-19 lockdowns in 2020 compared to 2019. We apply these estimates to quantify NO₂ changes in more than 200 cities, including 65 cities without available ground monitoring, largely in lower-income regions. Mean country-level population-weighted NO₂ concentrations are 29% ± 3% lower in countries with strict lockdown conditions than in those without. Relative to long-term trends, NO₂ decreases during COVID-19 lockdowns exceed recent Ozone Monitoring Instrument (OMI)-derived year-to-year decreases from emission controls, comparable to 15 ± 4 years of reductions globally. Our case studies indicate that the sensitivity of NO₂ to lockdowns varies by country and emissions sector, demonstrating the critical need for spatially resolved observational information provided by these satellite-derived surface concentration estimates.