Health benefits of decreases in on-road transportation emissions in the United States from 2008 to 2017

Abstract

Significance Despite decades of reductions in vehicle emissions in the United States, their impacts remain large, and the offsetting effects of different factors on benefits achieved in recent years are not well understood. We assess benefits from 2008 to 2017 on a fine spatial resolution using the latest epidemiological evidence and emissions inventories. We find that regulation continues to yield large benefits: $270 (190 to 480) billion in 2017 from reduced PM 2.5 -attributable mortality and greenhouse gas emissions. Traffic-related PM 2.5 -attributable mortality would have been 2.4 times as large in 2017 if vehicles had still been emitting at 2008 levels, accounting for most benefits. Urban passenger light-duty vehicles have become increasingly important, and major health gains require more stringent policies to curb their emissions.