Modeling Public Mood and Emotion: Twitter Sentiment and Socio-Economic Phenomena

Johan Bollen, Huina Mao, Alberto Pepe

Proceedings of the International AAAI Conference on Web and Social Media · 2021 · 950 citations · 23 references

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Concepts

TL;DR

The study proposes that large‑scale mood analysis can predict social and economic trends. The authors analyzed all tweets from the second half of 2008, extracted six daily mood dimensions with a psychometric instrument, and compared these mood vectors to a record of major events. They found that social, political, cultural, and economic events produce significant, immediate, and specific shifts in public mood.

Abstract

We perform a sentiment analysis of all tweets published on the microblogging platform Twitter in the second half of 2008. We use a psychometric instrument to extract six mood states (tension, depression, anger, vigor, fatigue, confusion) from the aggregated Twitter content and compute a six-dimensional mood vector for each day in the timeline. We compare our results to a record of popular events gathered from media and sources. We find that events in the social, political, cultural and economic sphere do have a significant, immediate and highly specific effect on the various dimensions of public mood. We speculate that large scale analyses of mood can provide a solid platform to model collective emotive trends in terms of their predictive value with regards to existing social as well as economic indicators.

References

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