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Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation and regression approach guided by El Niño–Southern Oscillation to model the tropical cyclone occurrence over the Bay of Bengal

EngineeringCoastal ModelingClimate ModelingWeather ForecastingEl Niño–southern OscillationEarth ScienceStochastic SimulationNumerical Weather PredictionStorm DynamicsStatisticsHydrometeorologyMeteorologyTropical Cyclone OccurrenceGeographyForecastingClimate DynamicsStochastic ModelingClimatologyRegression ApproachClimate Modelling