International Journal of Financial Research · 2010 · 125 citations · 19 references
BusinessBusiness EconomicsEconomicsCausal InferenceFinancial EconomicsTime Series AnalysisCapital MarketsCointegration AnalysisEconomic GrowthInvestmentStock MarketsTime Series EconometricsCausal RelationsCausalityEconomic Growth DynamicsFinancial Market DevelopmentGranger Causality AnalysisStock Market DevelopmentStock Market LiquidityStock Turnover
In this article we explore causality relationship between stock market and economic growth based on the time series data compiled from 5 Euronext countries (Belgium, France, Portugal, Netherlands and United Kingdom) for the period 1995:Q1 to 2008:Q4. Granger causality test was used to find causality relationship between stock market proxies through market capitalization, total trade value, turnover ratio and economic growth (GDP and FDI). Causal relations were investigated for each country. The results of the study suggest a positive links between the stock market and economic growth for some countries for which the stock market is liquid and highly active. However, the causality relationship is rejected for the countries in which the stock market is small and less liquid.
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