Has Output Become More Predictable? Changes in Greenbook Forecast Accuracy

Output Fluctuations in the United States: What Has Changed since the Early 1980's?

Gabriel Pérez‐Quirós, Margaret M. McConnell · RePEc: Research Papers in Economics · 2K citations

Social Sciences, Economics, Economic History +12

Has the U.S. Economy Become More Stable? A Bayesian Approach Based on a Markov-Switching Model of the Business Cycle

Chang‐Jin Kim, Charles R. Nelson · The Review of Economics and Statistics · 1999 · 1.2K citations

Social Sciences, Business Economics, Economics +16

Federal Reserve Information and the Behavior of Interest Rates

Christina Romer, David Romer · American Economic Review · 2000 · 1.1K citations

Social Sciences, Economics, Finance +11

The Long and Large Decline in U.S. Output Volatility

Olivier Blanchard, John Simon · Brookings Papers on Economic Activity · 2001 · 938 citations · Full text

Social Sciences, Business Economics, Economics +8

Are Phillips Curves Useful for Forecasting Inflation?

Andrew Atkeson, Lee E. Ohanian · Quarterly Review · 2001 · 736 citations · Full text

Social Sciences, Economics, Econometrics +16