medRxiv · 2020 · 16 citations · 31 references
Veterinary MedicineInfectious Disease ControlInfectious DiseasesEmerging Infectious DiseasesInfectious Disease EpidemiologyVirologyDisease ModelingDisease SpreadInfectious Disease DynamicsOutbreak ControlTransmission DynamicsTransmission Network AnalysisContagion DynamicsEpidemic ContagionHost-pathogen Dynamics ModelsInfectious Disease ModelsMathematical Modeling Of EpidemicsMathematical Modeling Of Viral SpreadModeling Of Outbreak SpreadTransmission Dynamics Modeling
ABSTRACT This work presents an ODE model for COVID-19 named SINDROME that incorporates quarantine, contagion dynamics, and environmentally mediated transmission based on the compartments. The SINDROME model introduces a new parameter that allows environmentally mediated transmission, moving quarantined individuals to the infected compartment. We developed a gray box model with the SINDROME, and fit over 169 regions.
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Clinical features of patients infected with 2019 novel coronavirus in Wuhan, China
Chaolin Huang, Yeming Wang, Xingwang Li et al. · The Lancet · 2020 · 51.8K citations · Full text