arXiv (Cornell University) · 2020 · 204 citations · 5 references
Veterinary MedicineInfectious Disease ControlInfectious DiseasesEpidemiologyForecastingInfectious Disease EpidemiologyDisease ForecastingDisease SpreadEpidemic Curve AnalysisEpidemic ForecastingInfectious Disease DynamicsTransmission DynamicsEpidemic PredictionForecasting Disease OutbreaksForecasting Disease SpreadForecasting Infectious Disease TransmissionMathematical Modeling Of Viral SpreadModeling Of Outbreak SpreadOutbreak PropagationTransmission Dynamics Modeling
Based on the official data modeling, this paper studies the transmission process of the Corona Virus Disease 2019 (COVID-19). The error between the model and the official data curve is within 3%. At the same time, it realized forward prediction and backward inference of the epidemic situation, and the relevant analysis help relevant countries to make decisions.
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Detection of 2019 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) by real-time RT-PCR
Victor M. Corman, Olfert Landt, Marco Kaiser et al. · Eurosurveillance · 2020 · 8.2K citations · Full text