Body composition predicts mortality and decompensation in compensated cirrhosis patients: A prospective cohort study

Abstract

BACKGROUND & AIMS: Body composition, particularly sarcopenia, is associated with mortality in patients with decompensated cirrhosis undergoing transplant evaluation. Similar data are limited for non-transplant eligible or compensated patients. METHODS: A total of 274 patients with cirrhosis were followed prospectively for ≤5 years after a CT scan. We utilized Analytic Morphomics® to measure body composition (fat, muscle, and bone) which was rendered into relative values (percentiles) in relation to a reference population. The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score was used as a reference model for survival prediction. We validated our models in a separate cohort. RESULTS: = 0.0001). CONCLUSION: The addition of body composition features to predictive models improves the prospective determination of prognosis in patients with cirrhosis, particularly those with compensated disease. Fat density, a novel feature, is associated with the risk of decompensation. LAY SUMMARY: Am I at high risk of getting sicker and dying? This is the key question on the mind of patients with cirrhosis. The problem is that we have very few tools to help guide our patients, particularly if they have early cirrhosis (without symptoms like confusion or fluid in the belly). We found that how much muscle and fat the patient has and what that muscle or fat looks like on a CT scan provide helpful information. This is important because many patients have CT scans and this information is hiding in plain sight.