Cancer burden attributable to human papillomavirus infection by sex, cancer site, age, and geographical area in China

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Human papillomavirus (HPV) attributable cancer burden is currently unknown in China, which is essential to evaluate the potential benefit of existing HPV vaccines and to inform cancer control policy. METHODS: We extracted data of cancer incidence and mortality in 2014 from Chinese Cancer Registry Annual Report, and data of national population from National Bureau of Statistics. HPV-attributable cancer burden was estimated by incorporating cancer rates and population forecasts by sex, cancer site, age and geographical area, and then combined to corresponding population attributable fractions. RESULTS: We estimated that there were 110 894 HPV-attributable new cancer cases in China in 2014, including 99 253 cervical cancers, 4449 noncervical cancers in females and 7192 cancers in males. The age-standardized incidence of HPV-attributable cancers in China was 5.69 per 100 000 persons, being slightly higher in rural than urban areas. Specifically, 51.1% of HPV-attributable cervical cancers were diagnosed in women aged 40-54 years, while 75.8% of noncervical cancers were diagnosed at 45-79 years of age. Among males, 53.4% of cancers were diagnosed at 55-74 years of age. Thirty five thousand six hundred and eighty three HPV-attributable cancer deaths were estimated, including 29 683 due to cervical cancer, and 2307 and 3693 due to noncervical cancer in females and males, respectively. CONCLUSIONS: The cancer burden attributable to HPV in China is substantial. HPV vaccination and cervical screening should be prioritized.