Proceedings of the ACM Turing Celebration Conference - China · 2019 · 33 citations · 10 references
ComputingEducational TechnologyHigher EducationForecastingMachine LearningTime Series AnalysisDropout PredictionLearner ModelingOnline LearningTime Series ClassificationTime Series ForecastingTime Series PredictionAccuracyDropoutDropout ModelingOnline Time Series ClassificationPredictionPredictive Modeling In EducationReal-time ProcessingStudent Dropout Prediction
Real-time and open online course resources of MOOCs have attracted a large number of learners in recent years. However, many new questions were emerging about the high dropout rate of learners. For MOOCs platform, predicting the learning status of MOOCs learners in real time with high accuracy is the crucial task, and it also help improve the quality of MOOCs teaching. The prediction task in this paper is inherently a time series prediction problem, and can be treated as time series classification problem, hence this paper proposed a prediction model based on RNN-LSTMs and optimization techniques which can be used to predict learners' learning status. Using datasets provided by Chinese University MOOCs as the inputs of model, the average accuracy of model's outputs was about 90%.
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