Global air transport complex network: multi-scale analysis

Abstract

Almost half of the world’s population is carried by airlines each year, and understanding this mode of transport is important from economic and scientific perspectives. In recent years, the increasing availability of data has led to complex network and agent interaction models which attempt to gain better understanding of the air transport network and develop forecasts. In this case study paper, we review existing research on two key approaches, namely: (1) a top-down multi-scale network science approach, and (2) a bottom-up entropy-maximization interaction network approach. Using simple socioeconomic indicators, we were able to construct a very accurate interaction model that can predict traffic volume, and the model can forward estimate the impact of population growth or fuel cost. Using network science approaches, we were able to identify community structures and relate them to economic outputs. We also saw how hubs evolved over time to become more influential. Looking into the future, using random graph theory, it seems that reduced flight cost will lead to increased hub influence. The disseminated knowledge in this case study paper will provide both academics and industry practitioners with steps forward to co-explore the interesting research landscape.