Journal of the American College of Cardiology · 2019 · 124 citations · 14 references
MedicinePharmacologyPharmacotherapyCardiovascular PharmacotherapyClinical PharmacologyPreventive CardiologyAnticoagulant TherapyAnticoagulation ManagementAntiplatelet TherapyAntithrombotic TherapyThrombosisThrombosis PreventionAtherosclerotic Cardiovascular Risk ReductionAtherosclerotic Risk ReductionBleeding Risk ReductionNet Benefit AnalysisNet Clinical BenefitTriple Antithrombotic TherapyVascular Risk ReductionVascular Risk Stratification
BACKGROUND: The COMPASS (Cardiovascular Outcomes for People Using Anticoagulation Strategies) trial showed that the combination of low-dose rivaroxaban and aspirin reduced major vascular events in patients with stable vascular disease. OBJECTIVES: The purpose of this study was to identify subsets of patients at higher risk of recurrent vascular events, which may help focus the use of rivaroxaban and aspirin therapy. METHODS: COMPASS patients with vascular disease were risk stratified using 2 methods: the REACH (REduction of Atherothrombosis for Continued Health) atherothrombosis risk score and CART (Classification and Regression Tree) analysis. The absolute risk differences for rivaroxaban with aspirin were compared to aspirin alone over 30 months for the composite of cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, stroke, acute limb ischemia, or vascular amputation; for severe bleeding; and for the net clinical benefit. RESULTS: High-risk patients using the REACH score were those with 2 or more vascular beds affected, history of heart failure (HF), or renal insufficiency, and by CART analysis were those with ≥2 vascular beds affected, history of HF, or diabetes. Rivaroxaban and aspirin combination reduced the serious vascular event incidence by 25% (4.48% vs. 5.95%, hazard ratio: 0.75; 95% confidence interval: 0.66 to 0.85), equivalent to 23 events prevented per 1,000 patients treated for 30 months, at the cost of a nonsignificant 34% increase in severe bleeding (1.34; 95% confidence interval: 0.95 to 1.88), or 2 events caused per 1,000 patients treated. Among patients with ≥1 high-risk feature identified from the CART analysis, rivaroxaban and aspirin prevented 33 serious vascular events, whereas in lower-risk patients, rivaroxaban and aspirin treatment led to the avoidance of 10 events per 1,000 patients treated for 30 months. CONCLUSIONS: In patients with vascular disease, further risk stratification can identify higher-risk patients (≥2 vascular beds affected, HF, renal insufficiency, or diabetes). The net clinical benefit remains favorable for most patients treated with rivaroxaban and aspirin compared with aspirin.
14
Classification and Regression Trees.
Alexander Gordon, Leo Breiman, Jerome H. Friedman et al. · Biometrics · 1984 · 23.9K citations
Classification and Regression Trees.
John Van Ryzin, Leo Breiman, Jerome H. Friedman et al. · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1986 · 21K citations
Antithrombotic Therapy for VTE Disease
Clive Kearon, Elie A. Akl, Anthony J. Comerota et al. · CHEST Journal · 2012 · 6.1K citations · Full text
2013 ESC guidelines on the management of stable coronary artery disease
Héctor Bueno · European Heart Journal · 2013 · 4.5K citations · Full text