Wind Speed Potential Analysis Based on Weibull Distribution

Abstract

Weibull probability density function used to determine the wind energy potential commonly.In this paper, wind energy potential of Bilecik region is analyzed statistically by using the Turkish State Meteorological Service's hourly wind speed data between 2010-2014 measured in Bilecik meteorological station.It is used the two-parameter Weibull to determine wind energy potential of the region.The parameters of the Weibull distributions used for finding the estimation of average speed, standard deviation, and power density is found by using the Maximum likelihood method.All analysis is carried out by Matrix Laboratory (MATLAB) programming language.Monthly and yearly wind speeds are modeled by Weibull distribution statistically.Accuracy of the modeling is evaluated in terms of Root Mean Square Error (RMSE).