HIV and the growing health burden from noncommunicable diseases in Botswana: modelling study

Abstract

Even though HIV prevalence is projected to decline steeply to 2030 because of reduced HIV incidence, the prevalence of HIV among people affected by many of the most important NCDs will increase or barely change. While the health care needs of people living with HIV will increase and become more complex, HIV will also emerge as a key factor complicating the management of the growing burden of NCDs. Health systems will need to prepare for the challenge of large numbers of patients living with both HIV and NCDs.