The Astronomical Journal · 2019 · 14 citations · 32 references
Abstract We report 18 new primary minima timing observations of the short-period eclipsing binary system NY Virginis. We combined these minima with previously published primary minima to update circumbinary exoplanet models in this system based on O − C timing variations. We performed a nonlinear least-squares minimization search using a quadratic ephemeris and either one or two exoplanets. The only model with an acceptable fit includes a period derivative and two planets in eccentric orbits e = 0.15, 0.15 with minimum masses of 2.7 and 5.5 Jovian masses. Analysis of the orbit stability shows that this solution is stable for at least 10 8 years, but a small increase in eccentricity ( e ≥ 0.20) for either planet renders the orbits unstable in less than 10 6 years. A number of model parameters are significantly degenerate, so additional observations are required to determine planetary parameters with high statistical confidence.
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Robert E. Kass, Adrian E. Raftery · Journal of the American Statistical Association · 1995 · 11.8K citations
Bayes Factor, Bayesian Hypothesis, Bayesian Decision Theory +17
A mechanism for orbital period modulation in close binaries
James H. Applegate · The Astrophysical Journal · 1992 · 998 citations
U. Heber · Annual Review of Astronomy and Astrophysics · 2009 · 450 citations