ACM Transactions on Modeling and Computer Simulation · 2019 · 24 citations · 12 references
BusinessMathematicsAlgorithmsMarkov Decision ProcessesStochastic ModelingMulti-objective OptimizationOptimization Under UncertaintyPareto OptimalityRobust OptimizationStochastic OptimizationValue IterationMultiobjective Optimization Under UncertaintyRobust Multi-objective OptimizationState Transition ProbabilitiesTransition ProbabilitiesTransition Probability Models
Accurate Modelling of a real-world system with probabilistic behaviour is a difficult task. Sensor noise and statistical estimations, among other imprecisions, make the exact probability values impossible to obtain. In this article, we consider Interval Markov decision processes ( IMDP s), which generalise classical MDP s by having interval-valued transition probabilities. They provide a powerful modelling tool for probabilistic systems with an additional variation or uncertainty that prevents the knowledge of the exact transition probabilities. We investigate the problem of robust multi-objective synthesis for IMDP s and Pareto curve analysis of multi-objective queries on IMDP s. We study how to find a robust (randomised) strategy that satisfies multiple objectives involving rewards, reachability, and more general ω-regular properties against all possible resolutions of the transition probability uncertainties, as well as to generate an approximate Pareto curve providing an explicit view of the trade-offs between multiple objectives. We show that the multi-objective synthesis problem is PSPACE -hard and provide a value iteration-based decision algorithm to approximate the Pareto set of achievable points. We finally demonstrate the practical effectiveness of our proposed approaches by applying them on several case studies using a prototype tool.
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