Improving capital budgeting decisions with real options

Abstract

In this article we provide accounting practitioners with a primer on how to supplement traditional discounted cash flow (DCF) analysis with real options. We use an example of a rental car company that is considering the purchase of a new car for its rental fleet. Management is trying to decide whether to buy a conventional gasoline-engine automobile or a hybrid vehicle. Within this decision context we illustrate the embedded options the company should consider given uncertainty of a new energy bill offering income-tax credits for the purchase of commercially operated hybrid vehicles. Our step-by-step approach shows how to incorporate these real options formally into the capital budgeting process.