Synergy of climate change and local pressures on saltwater intrusion in coastal urban areas: effective adaptation for policy planning

Abstract

This article examines the relative impacts of anthropogenic interventions and global climate change on the dynamics of saltwater intrusion in highly urbanized coastal aquifers. For this purpose, simulations of the impacts of sea-level rise and abstraction scenarios for the near future were undertaken for a pilot aquifer using a multi-objective 3D variable-density flow and solute transport model. We find that sea-level rise associated with climate change has less influence on the encroachment of salinity than anthropogenic abstraction, which has a more appreciable impact on saltwater intrusion through greater sensitivity to water consumption and seasonality.