2017 · 48 citations · 22 references
ComputingComputer ScienceData ScienceFeature EngineeringForecastingMachine LearningDeep LearningNeural NetworksStock MarketsTime Series ForecastingTime Series PredictionVolatility ModelingFinancial Time Series ForecastingGated Recurrent Unit NetworksNeural ForecastingNeural Network ModelingPredictive Price ModelingRecurrent Neural NetworksVolatilityVolatility Forecasting
Stock market prediction has attracted a lot of attention from both business and academia. In this paper, we implement a model based on Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN) with Gated Recurrent Units (GRU) to predict the stock volatility in the Chinese stock market. We also propose many price related features which are used as inputs for our model. Apart from that, we carefully select official accounts from Chinese largest online social networks - Sina Weibo and extract the content posted by these accounts to analyze the public moods. An influence feature is derived based on the public moods to further improve the prediction model. The experimental results show that our model outperforms the baseline method and can achieve a good prediction performance.
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Eugene F. Fama · The Journal of Finance · 1991 · 5.2K citations · Full text
The Adjustment of Stock Prices to New Information
Eugene F. Fama, Lawrence Fisher, Michael C. Jensen et al. · International Economic Review · 1969 · 3.6K citations
The Adjustment of Stock Prices to New Information
Eugene F. Fama, Lawrence Fisher, Michael C. Jensen et al. · SSRN Electronic Journal · 2003 · 3.1K citations · Full text
Eugene F. Fama · The Journal of Finance · 1991 · 1.3K citations · Full text
Constructivist and Ecological Rationality in Economics
Vernon L. Smith · American Economic Review · 2003 · 976 citations