Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences · 2017 · 432 citations · 16 references
Natural SciencesAgricultural EconomicsEnvironmental SciencesClimate ScienceClimatologySuicide PreventionAgricultural Climate AdaptationClimate ChangeClimate ExtremesClimate Impact AssessmentClimate Risk AssessmentGlobal WarmingAgricultural Climate ImpactsClimate Change Impacts On CropsClimate-induced Loss And DamageCrop YieldsFuture Climate ProjectionsRegional Climate ChangeSuicide MortalityTemperature Extremes In Crops
Suicide is a stark indicator of human hardship, yet its causes remain understudied, especially in developing countries. The study investigates how temperature influences the growing suicide epidemic in India, where one fifth of global suicides occur. Using 47 years of suicide and climate data, the authors show that high temperatures raise suicide rates only during the growing season, when heat also lowers crop yields. The results confirm economic suicide theories and estimate that recent warming has already caused over 59,000 suicides in India.
Significance Suicide is a stark indicator of human hardship, yet the causes of these deaths remain understudied, particularly in developing countries. This analysis of India, where one fifth of the world’s suicides occur, demonstrates that the climate, particularly temperature, has strong influence over a growing suicide epidemic. With 47 y of suicide records and climate data, I show that high temperatures increase suicide rates, but only during India’s growing season, when heat also reduces crop yields. My results are consistent with widely cited theories of economic suicide in India. Moreover, these findings have important implications for future climate change; I estimate that warming temperature trends over the last three decades have already been responsible for over 59,000 suicides throughout India.
16
Climate Trends and Global Crop Production Since 1980
David B. Lobell, Wolfram Schlenker, Justin Costa-Roberts · Science · 2011 · 4.4K citations
Agriculture, Agronomy, Crop Sciences +17