Climate change projections in Russian regions: The detailing in physical and probability spaces

Abstract

The problem is stated of quantification of the 21st century climate change projections across Russia detailed in the physical and probability spaces. The obtained projections are to be used for the quantitative description of future climate impacts on the sectors of the Russian economy and, in the end, for de velop ing the federal, sector, and regional plans of adaptation to climate changes. The formulated problem is solved by massive (50 members) ensemble simulations using the high-resolution (the horizontal resolution is 25 km) system of climate models developed in the Voeikov Main Geophysical Observatory.