Social SciencesPolitical ScienceComparative PoliticsDemocratizationMilitary HistoryDemocracyMilitary DictatorshipsPolitical RegimesRegime ChangeRegime TypeTransitions To DemocracyDemocratic Civil-military RelationsDemocratic ElectionsDemocratic GovernmentMembers Of Armed ForcesMilitary GovernmentMilitary JuntaMilitary PoliticsMilitary Withdrawal
In the past year three dictatorships with strong military support ended peacefully - in Tunisia, Egypt, and Burma. The armed forces of all three countries played a decisive role. Having for years supported autocratic regimes in which they enjoyed privileged positions, the army leaders in Tunisia and Egypt turned away from the very dictators who made them generals years before. In Burma a younger generation of officers took off their uniforms and set up the rudiments of a more democratic form of government. The outcome of the events in all three countries is not yet clear; what is clear is that military leaders in autocratic countries are not blind followers of the dictators who appointed them. They can turn against the regime or reform themselves in surprising ways.Why do some military leaders step down as dictators, and why do others withdraw support from civilian autocrats who are often ex-military officers themselves, in favor of democratic elections? It has happened often. The Argentine junta handed over power in disgrace in 1983; the Turkish army has taken power several times but has then relinquished it; Thai General and then President Prem Tinnasulanond scheduled an election in 1989 and did not run in it; at about the same time in the Philippines, General and then President Fidel Ramos declined to change the constitutional term limit and retired; in Nigeria in 1999, a series of military coups ended in flawed but adequate elections that were followed by a decade of relative stability. This article examines the dynamics and causes of transitions from military-supported dictatorships to more democratic governments.If military-supported dictatorships are susceptible to change, what can the developed democracies - the United States, the United Kingdom, Australia, Japan, France, Germany, India, and the many smaller mature and established democracies - do to encourage the armed forces of autocratic countries to support these transitions? This article proposes ways in which the developed democracies can use their military-military relations to encourage and assist democratic development around the world.The Worldwide Democratic TrendDemocracy has been on the move for years. It has taken different shapes in different parts of the world and in different countries. However, John Locke and James Madison would recognize it in many locations. The fundamental components are accountability of the government to an electorate; an electorate that can give a government another term or vote it out of office; freedom of that electorate to organize itself for political activity; protection of the rights of all citizens, including minorities, by a system of laws that are fairly enforced by competent police and an independent judiciary; a low level of corruption with laws and institutions to contain it both in government and in business; and a free press. With the defeat of the two major antidemocratic ideologies of the last century - fascism and communism - and with the spread of information around the world, the universal appeal of democratic principles is having an ever stronger influence. Even the world's two largest dictatorships in China and Russia find they must use the language of democracy and pretend they embrace it. Strong governments that are not fully democratic nonetheless adopt some democratic practices to satisfy their people's aspirations, providing a basis from which further gains can be made.There are also defining characteristics of the armed forces in a democracy. Their allegiance is to the people of their country, not to an individual, party, tribe, or ethnic or religious faction; they follow the orders of a freely and fairly elected government that represents the people; they do not support political parties or factions; and their primary mission is the defense of their country against external threats. When they are used within the country, whether it is to suppress an armed revolt, enforce a border, or provide relief following a natural disaster, it is for a limited time in support of domestic government organizations under special authorities and strict controls. …