Monthly Weather Review · 2017 · 17 citations · 48 references
Natural SciencesEarth SciencesMeteorologyAtmospheric ScienceClimatologyWeather ForecastingData AssimilationMonsoon ClimatologyMonsoon DynamicsPrecipitationTropical ConvectionTropical WavesAfrican Monsoon SystemCloud Precipitation ProcessesCloud-precipitation InteractionsEnsemble Data AssimilationEnsemble-based Data AssimilationStorm-scale ModelingWave-convective CouplingWest African Monsoon
Abstract This work assimilates multisensor precipitation-sensitive microwave radiance observations into a storm-scale NASA Unified Weather Research and Forecasting (NU-WRF) Model simulation of the West African monsoon. The analysis consists of a full description of the atmospheric states and a realistic cloud and precipitation distribution that is consistent with the observed dynamic and physical features. The analysis shows an improved representation of monsoon precipitation and its interaction with dynamics over West Africa. Most significantly, assimilation of precipitation-affected microwave radiance has a positive impact on the distribution of precipitation intensity and also modulates the propagation of cloud precipitation systems associated with the African easterly jet. Using an ensemble-based assimilation technique that allows state-dependent forecast error covariance among dynamical and microphysical variables, this work shows that the assimilation of precipitation-sensitive microwave radiances over the West African monsoon rainband enables initialization of storms. These storms show the characteristics of continental tropical convection that enhance the connection between tropical waves and organized convection systems.
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