The impacts of the oil price fall on the exchange rates of ASEAN-5: Evidence from the 2014 oil price shock

Abstract

In mid 2014, the crude oil price started to decrease significantly, and this sharp fall in the crude oil price had a considerable impact on the world economy and international trade. In this paper, we examined the impacts of the recent oil price fall on the exchange rates of the five biggest economies of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations (ASEAN-5). The derived results showed significant changes in dynamic conditional correlation and causality relationship among commodity and foreign exchange markets during the period of the crude oil price decrease.