A trajectory prediction method based on aircraft motion model and grey theory

Abstract

Aiming at the problem of trajectory prediction in air traffic control automation system, a new method of trajectory prediction based on aircraft motion model and grey theory is proposed. This method combines the aircraft motion model and the prediction method of grey theory, which realizes the real-time online trajectory prediction and improves the prediction accuracy. This prediction method has strong applicability and is more simple and easy compared with the traditional method, and it is more accurate than the traditional data mining method. Finally, the effectiveness of the method proposed in this paper is validated through the case of civil aviation.