China's democratic future : how it will happen and where it will lead

Abstract

IntroductionPart 1: Crisis Democracy and ChinaDemocracy's SpreadThe Struggle for Democracy ( China's Democratic PotentialBroken PromisesThe Republican FailureMao's ChinaPost-Mao ReformsThe Last Days of DictatorshipThe Torment of CCP RuleThe PRC SystemA Metaphor for TransitionState and SocietySustaining Economic GrowthThe Social MalaiseA Troubled DiplomacyPolitical DysfunctionResources for ChangeTocqueville's ParadoxThe Privatization of Economic LifeNew IdeasNew SocietiesDemocratic Diplomacy and US PolicyBorder Effects and Global Civil SocietyPolitical DecompressionPart II: Transition Breakdown and MobilizationPredicting ChangeGradual Democracy?Metastatic CrisisPopular MobilizationViolenceLast DitchismCollapse?The Eve of TransitionDemocratic BreakthroughExtrication or Overthrow?The Heroes of RetreatThe PactEnding the PRCThe ImmediateThe Interim RegimeSudden PoliticizationInternational ReactionPart III: Consolidation The Political ChallengeWill Democracy Fail?Legacies and ChoicesNew InstitutionsFederalismSecessionThe First ElectionRights and InterestsRights: Threats and SafeguardsTowards ConsolidationPolitical LifeLocal Politics and Hong KongRefurbishing Economic and Social LifeThe Struggle for InterestsGrowth and DevelopmentSocial WelfareRegional InterestsA Free SocietyDealing With HistoryA Changed International RoleDemocratic PeaceTransitional DiplomacyRelations With the U.S.Relations with AsiaTaiwan, Tibet and XinjiangConclusionReferences