Non invasive prediction of severe fibrosis in patients with alcoholic liver disease.

Abstract

OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to assess the diagnostic accuracy of noninvasive markers of liver fibrosis in alcoholic liver disease. PATIENTS AND METHODS: Fifty-four clinical and biochemical parameters including serum fibrosis markers (hyaluronate and transforming growth factor beta1) were analyzed in 146 consecutive heavy drinkers (106 men, 40 women; mean age 49.2 years). Following liver biopsy, fibrosis was evaluated using a semi-quantitative scoring system (no fibrosis (0) to severe fibrosis (3 + )). Multivariate analysis was performed to determine the markers that were best correlated with the fibrosis score. RESULTS: Fifty-nine patients (40.4 %) had severe fibrosis (3 +) while 87 (59.6 %) had no fibrosis or moderate fibrosis (0 to 2 +). In multivariate analysis, serum hyaluronate and the prothrombin index were the best markers for the prediction of severe fibrosis. Hyaluronate and the prothrombin index had a diagnostic accuracy of 91.1 % and 89.7 %, respectively in the whole population. Finally, a significant negative correlation was found between hyaluronate and the prothrombin index (r =- 0.86, P <0.0001). CONCLUSIONS: Using only hyaluronate and the prothrombin index, 9 out of 10 alcoholic patients can be correctly classified according to the severity of liver fibrosis.