2000 · 49 citations · 0 references
AgricultureRisk ManagementCapacity PlanningRenewable Energy SystemsStochastic ModelingPower Grid AnalysisPower System ReliabilityPower System StabilityReliability ModelingWind Energy SystemsWind Turbine TechnologyNode VoltageOutage ProbabilityPower Flow AnalysisPower PlanningPower System Reliability AnalysisPower System Reliability ModelingProduction SimulationWind Power Systems
In this paper, a reliability model of wind power plants is presented. The wind distribution and correlation between wind power plants, power curve and forced outage rate (FOR) of wind turbine generators, wake effects and temperature etc. are included in the model. The utilization of this model in probabilistic production simulation (PPS) and probabilistic load flow (PLF) are also discussed. Using PPS, the capacity credit and avoided cost of wind power plants can be studied. By the use of PLF, the distribution of power flow and node voltage can be calculated, therefore the penetration level of wind power can be determined. These are very important for grid connected wind power planning.