Compatible Systems and Decision Models for Pest Management

Abstract

A decision-tree approach to decision-making is described as one way to select the best available control-treatment alternative to suppress a forest insect pest. A systems model consisting of a set of differential equations is described as a way to organize available information and notions about the pest-host system into a format that will aid the decision-maker. A decision to control a gypsy moth infestation is presented as an example of one potential use for decision trees and compatible systems models.