Antepartum and early postpartum predictors of type 2 diabetes development in women with gestational diabetes mellitus.

Abstract

Five years after pregnancy 49 women were normal, 5 had developed type 1 diabetes and were not considered, 6 had developed IGT, and 10 type 2 diabetes. Analysis of variables during pregnancy showed that those variables predicting type 2 diabetes were pre-pregnancy BMI, gestational week of diagnosis, need for insulin therapy, obesity, and plasma glucose at 60' OGTT. Analysis of variables evaluated one year after pregnancy showed that BMI, fasting and post-prandial plasma glucose, plasma glucose at each point of the OGTT, and plasma insulin at 30' OGTT were predictive of the development of type 2 diabetes. Furthermore, age, post-partum fasting plasma glucose, and plasma glucose under OGTT post-partum were predictive of the development of IGT. Our data show for the first time that, also in a Caucasian Mediterranean population, markers of the future development of diabetes do exist, as reported in literature. They also stress the importance of correct identification of GDM patients, in order to screen those at greater risk of developing diabetes, for whom it is imperative to set up prevention programs.