On the Accuracy of Media-based Conflict Event Data

Nils B. Weidmann

Journal of Conflict Resolution · 2014 · 162 citations · 22 references

Concepts

TL;DR

Civil‑war researchers often rely on media reports for violence data, but such reports are incomplete and biased, raising concerns about their reliability. The study analyzes how accurately media reports capture event location and severity in conflict settings. The authors link media reports to a military database to examine factors driving inaccuracies and to quantify their size and impact on empirical work. They find that events with few observers are more likely to be inaccurately reported, and they quantify the resulting bias and its implications for empirical analyses.

Abstract

Empirical researchers of civil war rarely collect data on violence themselves and instead rely on other sources of information. One frequently used source is media reports, which serve as the basis for many ongoing data projects in the discipline. However, news reports rarely cover a conflict comprehensively and objectively and may therefore be prone to various reporting issues. This article provides an analysis of the accuracy of information given in news reports. In particular, if focuses on two types of “hard facts” that event data sets require: the location of an event and its severity. By linking media reports to firsthand accounts from a military database, the article does two things: (1) it analyzes the determinants of inaccuracy and confirms the expectation that events with a low number of observers tend to have higher reporting inaccuracies and (2) it assesses the magnitude of these inaccuracies and the implications for conducting empirical analyses with media-based event data.

References

22