Tsunami science before and beyond Boxing Day 2004

Costas E. Synolakis, E. N. Bernard

Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society A Mathematical Physical and Engineering Sciences · 2006 · 306 citations · 75 references

Concepts

TL;DR

Tsunami science has evolved uniquely from other extreme natural hazard research, largely due to the lack of instrumental recordings of tsunamis in the open ocean until recently. The study reviews progress toward tsunami inundation modeling for forecasting and identifies five priority research areas: model validation, impact force quantification, hazard mapping, seafloor motion coupling, and education. The authors describe the state of knowledge before the 26 December 2004 tsunami and discuss the historical development of tsunami inundation modeling tools from a hydrodynamic perspective.

Abstract

Tsunami science has evolved differently from research on other extreme natural hazards, primarily because of the unavailability until recently of instrumental recordings of tsunamis in the open ocean. Here, the progress towards developing tsunami inundation modelling tools for use in inundation forecasting is discussed historically from the perspective of hydrodynamics. The state-of-knowledge before the 26 December 2004 tsunami is described. Remaining aspects for future research are identified. One, validated inundation models need to be further developed through benchmark testing and instrumental tsunameter measurements and standards for operational codes need to be established. Two, a methodology is needed to better quantify short-duration impact forces on structures. Three, the mapping of vulnerable continental margins to identify unrecognized hazards must proceed expeditiously, along with palaeotsunami research to establish repeat intervals. Four, the development of better coupling between deforming seafloor motions and model initialization needs further refinement. Five, in an era of global citizenship, more comprehensive educational efforts on tsunami hazard mitigation are necessary worldwide.

References

75