Archives of Otolaryngology - Head and Neck Surgery · 2012 · 82 citations · 16 references
MedicineOncologySurgeryAlcohol ToxicologyGeriatric AssessmentPalliative CareDelirium AssessmentDelirium OutcomesAlcohol-related MorbidityBlood Volume AssessmentCognitive Impairment AssociationsDelirium EpidemiologyDelirium Prediction ModelsDelirium PrognosticationDelirium Risk PredictionLogistic Regression
The study aims to identify alcohol‑related predictors of postoperative delirium in patients undergoing major head and neck cancer surgery. Using an inception cohort of 774 patients, the authors performed step‑wise logistic regression on 19 variables—including mean corpuscular volume and eight alcohol‑related questionnaire items—to assess their association with delirium. Six factors were significantly linked to delirium: age > 69 years, preexisting cognitive impairment, surgery duration > 6 h, MCV > 95 fL, prior advice to cut back on alcohol, and lack of a 1‑week abstinence period, with delirium incidence rising from 2.5 % (0 variables) to 34 % (>2 variables).
<h3>Objective</h3>To identify specific alcohol-related predictors of postoperative delirium.<h3>Design</h3>Inception cohort, logistic regression with step-wise selection.<h3>Setting</h3>Ohio State University Comprehensive Cancer Center, Columbus.<h3>Patients</h3>A total of 774 patients undergoing major resection of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma.<h3>Main Outcome Measures</h3>The correlation of 19 variables with postoperative delirium. One variable was an alcohol-related blood test: mean red blood cell volume (MCV). Eight variables were patient responses to alcohol-related questions.<h3>Results</h3>Eighty-nine of 774 surgical procedures (11.5%) were complicated by delirium. Six variables were significantly associated with delirium: age older than 69 years (odds ratio [OR], 2.43; P < .01), preexisting cognitive impairment (OR, 3.83; P < .01), surgery duration greater than 6 hours (OR, 2.40; P < .01), MCV greater than 95.0 femtoliters (OR, 2.23; P < .01), ever being advised to cut back on alcohol (OR, 2.25; P = .01), and not abstaining from alcohol for at least 1 continuous week in the preceding year (OR, 2.16; P = .02). The number of variables stratified delirium risk (0 variables: 198 patients, 2.5% incidence of delirium; 1 variable: 278 patients, 6% incidence of delirium; 2 variables: 206 patients, 18% incidence of delirium; and >2 variables: 92 patients, 34% incidence of delirium).<h3>Conclusions</h3>Three clinical variables not related to alcohol drinking (age, preexisting cognitive impairment, and surgery duration), an alcohol-related laboratory test (MCV), and 2 alcohol-related questions (“At any time in your life, has anyone ever suggested that you should cut back on your drinking?” and “What is the greatest number of days in a row you have gone without an alcoholic drink in the past year?”) may help in estimating a patient's risk for postoperative delirium.
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A Clinical Prediction Rule for Delirium After Elective Noncardiac Surgery
Edward R. Marcantonio · JAMA · 1994 · 872 citations
Prevalence, Detection, and Treatment of Alcoholism in Hospitalized Patients
Richard Moore · JAMA · 1989 · 515 citations
Medicine, Neurology, Psychiatry +13