Population and Development Review · 2010 · 366 citations · 57 references
Social SciencesDemographyDemographic TransitionFertilityReproductive DemographyChildbearing PatternsFertility DifferentialsFertility HistoryFertility TransitionMarital FertilityNonmarital FertilityAge-specific Fertility PatternsComparative Demographic TransitionDemographic Transition ModelingFertility BehaviorHazard Rate ModelsNonmarital Childbearing Decisions
Nearly every European country has seen an increase in nonmarital childbearing, largely driven by rising births within cohabitation, yet few studies examine how this trend varies by education or changes over time. The study investigates the educational gradient of childbearing in cohabitation across eight European countries using competing risk hazard models and proposes an alternative explanation beyond the Second Demographic Transition. The authors analyze retrospective union and fertility histories with competing risk hazard models across eight countries and offer a new interpretation of the mechanisms influencing cohabiting fertility beyond the Second Demographic Transition. Birth risks within cohabitation exhibit a consistently negative.
Nearly every European Country has experienced some increase in nonmarital childbearing, largely due to increasing births within cohabitation. Relatively few studies in Europe, however, investigate the educational gradient of childbearing within cohabitation or how it changed over time. Using retrospective union and fertility histories, we employ competing risk hazard models to examine the educational gradient of childbearing in cohabitation in eight countries across europe. In all countries studied, birth risks within cohabitation demonstrated a negative educational gradient. When directly comparing cohabiting fertility with marital fertility, the negative educational gradient persists in all countries except Italy, although differences were not significant in Austria, France, and West Germany. To explain these findings, we present an alternative explanation for the increase in childbearing within cohabitation that goes beyond the explanation of the Second Demographic Transition and provides a new interpretation of the underlying mechanisms that may influence childbearing within cohabitation.
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