Journal of Financial Economics · 1995 · 741 citations · 41 references
BusinessEconomicsFinanceEconometricsFinancial EconometricsTime Series AnalysisAsset Return ModelingCointegration AnalysisMicroeconometricsModel SpecificationVolatility ModelingArch ModelsAsymmetric Volatility ModelsAutoregressive Time Series ModelsConditional Heteroskedasticity ModelsGeneralized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity ModelsHeteroskedasticity ModelingTime Series Volatility ModelingTime-varying Volatility Models
This paper develops a parametric family of models of generalized autoregressive heteroskedasticity (GARCH). The family nests the most popular symmetric and asymmetric GARCH models, thereby highlighting the relation between the models and their treatment of asymmetry. Furthermore, the structure permits nested tests of different types of asymmetry and functional forms. Daily U.S. stock return data reject all standard GARCH models in favor of a model in which, roughly speaking, the conditional standard deviation depends on the shifted absolute value of the shocks raised to the power three halves and past standard deviations.
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A Simplex Method for Function Minimization
J. A. Nelder, R. Mead · The Computer Journal · 1965 · 28.9K citations
Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity
Tim Bollerslev · Journal of Econometrics · 1986 · 22.3K citations · Full text
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