On the influence of sample size on the prognostic accuracy and reproducibility of renal transplant biopsy

Abstract

Much larger biopsy samples are necessary than has generally been assumed in order for glomerulosclerosis rates to be reproducible or predictive of outcome. Arteriolar hyalinosis is prognostically important and shows good reproducibility independent of sample size. Interstitial fibrosis/tubular atrophy appear useless as predictors, being of no prognostic importance and lacking reproducibility. Our finding clarifies some of the discrepancies found by different investigators regarding the importance of renal biopsy in predicting prognosis. Preliminary, our data indicate that samples containing fewer than 25 glomeruli are unreliable in determining outcome based on glomerulosclerosis. The importance of our findings which are based only on chronic lesions, with respect to acute changes, is unknown.