Beyond Keeping Peace: United Nations Effectiveness in the Midst of Fighting

Lisa Hultman, Jacob D. Kathman, Megan Shannon

American Political Science Review · 2014 · 62 citations · 53 references

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TL;DR

UN peacekeeping missions, originally designed to maintain peace and conduct post‑conflict activities, have increasingly been deployed to active conflicts since the Cold War, yet their capacity to manage ongoing violence remains poorly understood. This study conducts the first comprehensive empirical assessment of UN peacekeeping effectiveness in reducing battlefield violence during civil wars. The authors examine the relationship between the number of UN peacekeeping personnel and battlefield deaths across all African civil wars from 1992 to 2011. Results indicate that larger contingents of armed military troops are linked to fewer battlefield deaths, whereas police and observer units show no effect, suggesting that appropriately composed UN missions can mitigate violent conflict.

Abstract

While United Nations peacekeeping missions were created to keep peace and perform post-conflict activities, since the end of the Cold War peacekeepers are more often deployed to active conflicts. Yet, we know little about their ability to manage ongoing violence. This article provides the first broad empirical examination of UN peacekeeping effectiveness in reducing battlefield violence in civil wars. We analyze how the number of UN peacekeeping personnel deployed influences the amount of battlefield deaths in all civil wars in Africa from 1992 to 2011. The analyses show that increasing numbers of armed military troops are associated with reduced battlefield deaths, while police and observers are not. Considering that the UN is often criticized for ineffectiveness, these results have important implications: if appropriately composed, UN peacekeeping missions reduce violent conflict.

References

53